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Over & Under Explanation
OSCC Quote Definitions
OSCC Quotes
Today's O&U List
Long Term O&U List for Today
Previous Day's O&U Lists
 

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For definitions, explanations and
how to use this data go to OSCC Floor Value Page.

Explanation of the
Over / Under Priced Options Lists:
These products show our relative value of options. Over or under priced options are listed by their relative over or under value. The Lists are based on the generally very accurate OSCC Quotes. The Over & Under Valued price list is the result of comparing the OSCC Quote indicated T-Bond option "par values" with each other and sorting them. Click here to see typical list. If and when this is done during the day the accuracy will be affected by the fact that option contracts more than 3 moths out will be using estimated futures.

Why the OSCC Over / Under Priced Options Lists: In a perfect world all options would be "On par" with each other and there would be no over or under priced options. However, this is not a perfect world and options may get mispriced. Our program constantly recalculates what this "On par" values is for all Calls and Puts at all strike prices. Currently the OSCC Over & Under Priced Options List is done by comparing today's actual prices with the adjusted average "On par" value using today's parameters. This is the "Today O&U List"

Another list the "Long Term Over and Under List" ( Long Term O&U List") is now available that compares today's actual prices using historical "On par" averages. This is an 8 week moving average of the current days "par value" (parameters) I currently use a 5 and 10 business day term for my option premium outlook analysis. I analyzed my historical data and found that at 8 weeks all my parameters produce curves that basically flatten out or become very long smooth curves that form a steady level for comparisons. Since it appears "par value" values always return to this historical level, this then becomes the base level that can be used to determine if present options are over or under valued based on historical data. This should prove very valuable to position traders.This provides another view as to where options are going in the months ahead.

An historical record for both lists is kept in "Previous Days O&U List".
The Today List using the current day's parameters will be denoted as TD.
The Long Term List using the 8 week moving average parameters will be denoted as LT.

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Last Updated on 05/11/2010 By Tom B
As used throughout this web site: 05/11/2010

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This site relates to option trading of commodity options and futures with strategies that buy or sell puts and calls either long or short for profit on treasury bonds and notes, Dow Jones Index, soybean products, corn, wheat, oats, rough rice and T-Bond options on the CBOT, Chicago Board of Trade through "floor traders". We are also doing 15 products from the CME, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the Japanese Yen, British Pound, Swiss Franc, the Euro FX (ECU) and the Australian and Canadian dollars. We also do 5 agriculture products, the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100 and EuroDollars related to European and Economic Monetary Union (EMU) interest rates. Commodities are a high risk speculative hedging investment and traders should use brokers for trading contracts who keep their funds and money in accounts with high rates. This site provides free commentary, and technical analysis on commodity futures and option premiums by OSCC from our futures charts and option charts for use by traders.
This site no longer provides free quotes, although we do provide a free commodity ticker.